Access Briefing

Leadership Candidates

Detailed profiles of the frontrunners and dark horses. We analyze their political base, leadership case, and path to victory.

ID_001
Probability25.0%
Secretary of State for Health and Social Care
Market_Base
3/1
Decimal
4.00

Seen as the leading figure of the Labour right, Streeting is often touted as a future leader. Known for his polished media performances.

ID_002
Probability20.0%
Mayor of Greater Manchester
Market_Base
4/1
Decimal
5.00

"King of the North" who remains highly popular with the membership, despite currently sitting outside Westminster.

ID_003
Probability16.7%
Deputy Prime Minister
Market_Base
5/1
Decimal
6.00

The current Deputy Leader with a strong independent mandate from the membership. Authentic working-class roots.

ID_004
Probability14.3%
Chancellor of the Exchequer
Market_Base
6/1
Decimal
7.00

The first female Chancellor, credited with restoring Labour's economic credibility.

ID_005
Probability9.1%
Secretary of State for Education
Market_Base
10/1
Decimal
11.00

A rising star who has impressed many with her handling of the education brief.

ID_006
Probability7.7%
Home Secretary
Market_Base
12/1
Decimal
13.00

Highly experienced cabinet minister who previously ran for the leadership in 2015.

ID_007
Probability5.9%
Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport
Market_Base
16/1
Decimal
17.00

Ran a strong campaign in 2020. Respected across different wings of the party.

ID_008
Probability2.9%
Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero
Market_Base
33/1
Decimal
34.00

Former leader who has reinvented himself as a crucial policy engine for the party.